Carquefou vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
69.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carquefou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
CAR
0 - 2
ESW
38%
24%
37%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
14%
22%
64%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
CAR
0 - 1
LOR
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
LMU
1 - 0
GRE
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
LMU
1 - 0
GRE
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
CLE
1 - 0
LMU
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
LMU
1 - 1
STL
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
CHA
1 - 1
LMU
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |