Carquefou vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
59.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
LOR
0 - 0
CHA
85%
12%
4%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1992 |
LOR
0 - 3
VAL
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
LOR
3 - 1
TOU
88%
10%
2%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |