Carquefou vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carquefou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 3
LEM
48%
27%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LES
0 - 2
CAR
52%
24%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 5
CHE
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
ROM
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
GUI
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
LAV
0 - 0
CON
35%
28%
37%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CON
4 - 3
ALE
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 0
CON
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CON
2 - 0
SAI
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |