AC Carpi vs Virtus Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAR
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
USA
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 0
PIA
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ASD
0 - 0
VIR
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 0
USF
10%
21%
69%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SOR
7 - 0
VIR
47%
26%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIR
2 - 1
GRU
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
NAR
1 - 1
VIR
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |