AC Carpi vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 2
TAR
28%
31%
42%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TER
2 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAV
0 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
ACL
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
SPA
4 - 0
PAV
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
COM
0 - 2
SPA
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 2
ACL
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
SPA
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 0
FCV
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |