AC Carpi vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
USA
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 0
PIA
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
5 - 1
REG
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
RIM
2 - 2
CAR
13%
25%
62%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
REN
1 - 2
NOV
31%
29%
40%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
PON
0 - 3
NOV
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
ABN
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ABN
1 - 0
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 1
GOZ
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |