AC Carpi vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 0
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 2
TRA
28%
27%
46%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LAT
1 - 0
CAR
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
AVE
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 2
JUS
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 3
MOD
34%
28%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 0
SPE
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
REG
2 - 2
MOD
34%
28%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 0
LAT
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |