Serie C Final
Global 2-1
AC Carpi vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
FCS
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 2
CAR
37%
30%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
COM
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 2
CAR
76%
17%
8%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
TRI
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 1
ACD
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ACD
1 - 1
LEC
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ABN
2 - 1
LEC
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 2
CAR
76%
17%
8%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 2
LEC
17%
24%
60%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |