AC Carpi vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
BEN
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 1
CAR
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 1
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
USF
1 - 2
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 1
FOL
50%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 2
TAR
22%
31%
47%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
FCV
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 1
FOL
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 0
FOL
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |