AC Carpi vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
USC
3 - 2
CAR
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2013 |
REG
2 - 1
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 3
TRA
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
COM
0 - 0
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
FCS
4 - 2
ACL
37%
30%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PAV
2 - 1
FCS
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 1
ABN
32%
28%
39%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
FCS
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 0
POR
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |