AC Carpi vs Città di Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
CAR
37%
30%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
FOL
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
BEN
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 1
CAR
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 1
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
POM
2 - 0
CIT
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CIT
1 - 0
ANZ
67%
19%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
CIT
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CIT
2 - 0
ATL
76%
15%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BUD
1 - 1
CIT
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |