AC Carpi vs Borgo San Donnino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
8º
2º
28
15º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 45 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
94% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
94% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ACP
2 - 1
CAR
13%
20%
68%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
CER
1 - 3
CAR
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
IMO
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAR
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
SAM
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Borgo San Donnino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BSD
0 - 1
ACA
19%
20%
60%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
BSD
0 - 4
VSM
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
RAV
4 - 0
BSD
73%
18%
10%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BSD
0 - 2
COR
17%
23%
60%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
BSD
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |