AC Carpi vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
PIS
2 - 1
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
JUS
0 - 2
CAR
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
VIR
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 2
CAR
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPE
47%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACD
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 2
JUS
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 5
PAR
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 2
NOV
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |