AC Carpi vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 0
CAR
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
VIC
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
TER
56%
26%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
PES
0 - 5
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
LAT
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CTT
1 - 1
LAT
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TER
1 - 1
CTT
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
CTT
1 - 1
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 2
CTT
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
CTT
0 - 1
ACD
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |