Carpi U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
62.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carpi U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
TOR
18%
26%
57%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GEN
3 - 3
CAR
66%
19%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 1
CAR
37%
23%
39%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 1
NOV
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +4 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
SAS
6 - 1
CAR
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 3
SPE
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SPE
4 - 4
JUV
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
3 - 2
SPE
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 1
SAS
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
SPE
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |