Carpi Sub 19 vs Novara Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carpi Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
5 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
TOR
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 3
CAR
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
PRO
33%
24%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAR
90%
7%
3%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Novara Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 3
FIO
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 1
NOV
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
NOV
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -3 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 0
LIV
87%
10%
4%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 3
NOV
16%
19%
65%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |