Caronnese vs Verbania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 2
CAR
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
CAR
66%
22%
13%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAV
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
ARG
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Verbania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VER
2 - 1
PIN
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 1
VER
74%
16%
11%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 2
VER
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VER
0 - 5
ALB
16%
21%
63%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 0
VER
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |