Caronnese vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
PRO
70%
20%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SET
0 - 2
CAR
15%
23%
62%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 2
CAS
69%
20%
12%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 1
CAR
16%
23%
61%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 3
VAR
13%
22%
65%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VOG
3 - 3
VAR
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 2
BOR
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
INV
0 - 1
VAR
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
FOL
35%
25%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |