Caronnese vs Bellinzago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 0
CAR
23%
23%
55%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 0
ASD
65%
20%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LAV
1 - 1
CAR
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
RAB
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAR
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bellinzago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 0
PIN
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 2
BEL
20%
21%
60%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 0
VOG
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 3
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 1
SES
27%
23%
51%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |