Caronnese vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 3
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
PAV
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
DER
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 3
CAR
20%
22%
59%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 2
COM
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SER
1 - 3
PRO
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
DER
1 - 0
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SER
0 - 0
VAR
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
COM
0 - 2
SER
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SER
2 - 2
OLG
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |