Caronnese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
LAV
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 3
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
ACS
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
NOV
4 - 1
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 2
NOV
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
PDH
70%
18%
13%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NOV
5 - 0
VFC
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SES
1 - 1
NOV
11%
20%
69%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |