Caronnese vs Ambrosiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CIS
2 - 3
CAR
22%
23%
56%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 1
VBE
65%
19%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
VIL
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SON
1 - 0
CAR
15%
19%
66%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAR
76%
16%
9%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GSD
1 - 4
DAR
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 2
GSD
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GSD
0 - 1
SER
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
GSD
62%
19%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GSD
1 - 2
PRO
18%
20%
63%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |