Caronnese vs Fezzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BOR
0 - 2
CAR
31%
26%
44%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PIN
0 - 0
CAR
32%
24%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
LIG
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VOG
2 - 0
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 1
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FEZ
3 - 2
GOZ
19%
23%
59%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LIG
4 - 2
FEZ
67%
17%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FEZ
0 - 1
CHI
13%
18%
70%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 2
FEZ
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FEZ
1 - 2
BEL
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |