Caronnese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SNR
1 - 1
CAR
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
SAN
29%
21%
50%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAN
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
PRO
21%
25%
54%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACS
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
DER
2 - 4
CHI
41%
25%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 2
DER
60%
24%
16%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VFC
2 - 2
DER
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
DER
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
PDH
16%
19%
65%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |