Caronnese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FEZ
0 - 4
CAR
15%
20%
66%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
BOR
54%
24%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
5 - 0
PIN
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 4
CAR
22%
22%
55%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
VOG
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
DER
2 - 0
CAS
75%
16%
10%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 0
DER
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
DER
5 - 1
VFC
42%
24%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VOG
3 - 3
DER
71%
19%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DER
3 - 0
SET
18%
24%
58%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +3 |