Caronnese vs Castellazzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
BOR
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SER
0 - 2
CAR
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
VAR
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 1
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castellazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
PAV
9%
15%
77%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DER
1 - 1
CAS
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
ARC
17%
20%
64%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
COM
5 - 1
CAS
84%
12%
4%
|
17 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
PRO
8%
16%
76%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | +2 |