Caronnese vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 1
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
REZ
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 2
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SER
2 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
49%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 2
PRO
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
VBE
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAR
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
SON
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SER
2 - 2
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |