Caronnese vs Città di Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
VCB
40%
23%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
BOR
0 - 2
CAR
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
AST
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
CHI
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 2
SNR
55%
21%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
ASD
60%
24%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
ASD
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SES
1 - 1
ASD
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 1
DER
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |