Caronnese vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 1
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
DER
0 - 2
CAR
12%
21%
67%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
ARC
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
GOZ
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 1
VAR
11%
20%
68%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASD
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DER
1 - 1
VAR
7%
18%
76%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
INV
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |