Caronnese vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
PON
2 - 2
CAR
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
COM
2 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
LEG
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
OLG
0 - 1
CAR
14%
21%
65%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
VIL
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 1
VBE
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
VIL
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SON
1 - 3
MAN
9%
15%
75%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
CAR
73%
19%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 1
MAN
14%
22%
63%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |