Carlton Town vs Stourbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
HIS
81%
13%
7%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
KID
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SOH
0 - 6
CAR
24%
24%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 1
LOU
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
BED
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
STO
2 - 6
NUN
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 1
STO
50%
22%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
RED
0 - 1
STO
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
STO
3 - 0
LOW
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ROY
1 - 2
STO
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |