Carolinense vs CD Vilches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
UBE
4 - 0
CAR
36%
24%
41%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAE
21%
22%
57%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAZ
4 - 1
CAR
55%
22%
24%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 0
BEA
69%
18%
13%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
IBR
1 - 2
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
NAV
50%
23%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
JOD
0 - 2
VIL
35%
25%
40%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CDV
60%
21%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 1
VIL
14%
20%
66%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 0
UBE
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |