Carolinense vs CA Bailén 1808 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDV
0 - 4
CAR
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAE
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BEG
0 - 0
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
IDJ
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 1
CAR
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bailén 1808
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 1
CAZ
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IDJ
0 - 1
CAB
23%
21%
57%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAB
4 - 2
LID
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LID
1 - 4
CAB
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
4 - 0
UDG
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |