Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-2
Carolinense vs Melilla Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAL
59%
25%
17%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
CDR
1 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
CAR
2 - 1
CDB
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
ARC
2 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
10%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
CAR
1 - 2
BET
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Melilla Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ADL
1 - 0
IME
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
IME
0 - 1
BET
56%
25%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
MEL
1 - 0
IME
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
IME
2 - 1
VIL
48%
26%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
MER
2 - 0
IME
56%
23%
20%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |