Carolinense vs UD Cazorla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BAE
0 - 1
CAR
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDV
1 - 2
CAR
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CDT
0 - 3
CAR
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
CAR
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UD Cazorla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 1
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
CAZ
62%
19%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAZ
0 - 2
BEG
38%
24%
39%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDR
2 - 2
CAZ
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 2
CDH
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |