Carolinense vs Begíjar CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CDR
0 - 2
CAR
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
CAZ
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BAE
0 - 1
CAR
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDV
1 - 2
CAR
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Begíjar CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BEG
0 - 3
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
BEG
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BEG
1 - 0
CDH
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BEG
3 - 2
CDR
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAZ
0 - 2
BEG
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |