Carolinense vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
BEG
0 - 0
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
IDJ
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 1
CAR
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
5 - 1
ADL
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 0
CAR
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 0
BAE
51%
21%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BAE
0 - 0
CDH
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BAE
0 - 0
VIL
59%
20%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
BAE
1 - 2
CDT
50%
21%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 0
BAE
35%
23%
43%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |