North Carolina vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
5º
2º
65
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NCO
0 - 2
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
CVF
0 - 3
CAR
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
TOR
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GTR
0 - 2
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
OMA
4 - 3
CAR
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
OMA
2 - 1
CVF
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CRW
2 - 3
OMA
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
OMA
2 - 1
RIC
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
OMA
4 - 3
CAR
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GTR
1 - 2
OMA
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |