North Carolina vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
RIC
0 - 0
CAR
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
FMA
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NOT
4 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 4
CRW
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
NER
3 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
OMA
0 - 0
NOT
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CRW
1 - 0
OMA
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TUC
0 - 1
OMA
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 2
FMA
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 1
NOT
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |