North Carolina vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
FMA
0 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
OMA
4 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
CVF
43%
24%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
FMA
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
RIC
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TUC
0 - 1
GTR
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
NCO
1 - 2
TUC
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
RIC
3 - 1
TUC
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TUC
2 - 3
CHA
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
OMA
2 - 1
TUC
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |