North Carolina vs Toronto II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
PHU
1 - 1
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
CHA
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
PIT
2 - 0
CAR
31%
27%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
RIC
1 - 3
CAR
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 2
LOU
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toronto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
TAM
3 - 1
TOR
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 4
CHA
12%
20%
67%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 3
CIN
14%
21%
65%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 3
IND
15%
24%
61%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
PNN
3 - 2
TOR
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |