North Carolina vs Tampa Bay Rowdies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
6 - 2
CHA
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
NYO
2 - 2
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
IND
3 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 2
CAR
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 2
CIN
21%
25%
54%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
PIT
1 - 1
TAM
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 2
CAR
34%
27%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 0
CHA
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
OTT
2 - 0
TAM
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |