NASL - One League Semi-finals
Global 4-5
North Carolina vs Tampa Bay Rowdies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
TAM
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 1
CAR
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
EDM
2 - 2
CAR
27%
29%
44%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
TAM
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 1
CAR
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
EDM
0 - 3
TAM
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 1
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 3
TAM
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |