North Carolina vs Tampa Bay Rowdies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 4
CAR
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
MIN
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PRI
2 - 0
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAR
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 2
TAM
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 2
PRI
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TAM
2 - 0
MIN
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
MON
3 - 3
TAM
41%
30%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 4
TAM
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |