North Carolina vs San Antonio Scorpions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 2
CAR
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 1
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
EDM
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TAM
0 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TAM
3 - 3
CAR
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
San Antonio Scorpions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
ATL
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
EDM
1 - 0
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
TAM
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 0
SAN
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
MIN
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -3 |