North Carolina vs San Antonio Scorpions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PRI
3 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 1
CAR
39%
29%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 4
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MIN
0 - 0
CAR
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 3
MIN
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
San Antonio Scorpions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 4
PRI
39%
28%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |