North Carolina vs Richmond Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 6
CAR
27%
25%
49%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
PNN
0 - 1
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 3
NSC
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 3
TAM
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
RIC
1 - 4
CIN
10%
20%
70%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TAM
3 - 0
RIC
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
RIC
0 - 2
OTT
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
RIC
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
RIC
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |