North Carolina vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MIN
3 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 3
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NYC
3 - 2
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
NYC
1 - 4
OTT
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 2
OTT
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
OTT
0 - 0
FOR
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
OTT
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
OTT
2 - 2
TAM
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |