North Carolina vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
MIN
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
EDM
3 - 0
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
OTT
54%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OTT
1 - 2
IND
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
OTT
0 - 2
EDM
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
NYC
2 - 1
OTT
58%
25%
18%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
OTT
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |