North Carolina vs NY Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
EDM
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 0
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
MIA
1 - 0
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
OTT
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
JAC
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
NY Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
IND
3 - 0
NYC
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
0 - 0
EDM
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
1 - 0
MIN
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 0
NYC
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
3 - 0
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |